Why we remonetize ‘non-nucleated fear’ and ‘virus-victim ecology’, to continue lockdown tyranny?

“Fear not waves in the sea, but mind leaks in your vessel”

Time has come India must show courage and conviction to revoke the senseless and meaningless lockdown to save humanity from hunger and unemployment pandemic.  The non-nucleated fear (fear without any scientific substance) spreads faster than the virus and does more harm to our country than the poor virus.

From the evolutionary perspective no pathogen can target all races of humans in all geography, all age and gender group, barring all climatic conditions……….  

Always we are trained and tutored to view the term ‘pathogen’ only with fear and caution.  We associate the term pathogenicity or infectivity only to the pathogen or the infective agent and consider our susceptibility factor (s), the least. 

If we take measures thinking the pathogen is pathogenic by excluding the core susceptibility factor (s), we cannot win such war ever in our lifetime.

It would be like to prevent Tsunami, we are attempting to dry out the sea and finally the water that evaporates out is bound to pour down, causing greater harm than Tsunami.  We cannot dry out the sea as well.

From the eye of evolution, a pathogen is also like anyone of us, struggles to survive in the terra firma.  Our struggles to survive have increased exponentially in the recent times, thanks to the lockdown promulgated by Modi to stop the spread of novel coronavirus in our country. 

Coronavirus has done less harm to us than the lockdown measures of Modi. 

Many of us have lost life and livelihood and what is left in us is the involuntarily breathing heart and wandering thoughts.   

When we look at the virus invasion closely, we get to know several curious facets of evolution and how our ignorance and impatience have exaggerated our fear to become non-nucleated fear and make disastrous decisions and policies to prove how worse our treatment can be, than the disease. 

Coronavirus appears quite innocent to our large population as several reports clearly show that about 80% of the positive individuals of coronavirus were asymptomatic. Reasonable proportion also remains with mild symptoms and became alright over time.

                 

The infectivity of most pathogens is not always linked with the pathogen alone.  The host susceptibility also plays a major role in the infectivity of a pathogen.  The susceptible host is otherwise called as victim. 

Virus-victim association (ecology) is well known in microbiology.  When a victim facilitate the virus to become ‘infective’ and such infectivity becomes counterproductive to the same victim for doing his bit of charity to the virus, naturally such the victim dies. 

Naturally the tribute goes to the virus; certainly accusation also. 

The tribute comes in the way; the entire world started to serve warning and India has thought that national level lockdown alone will immobilize the pathogen.   It is like lyophilize every human being, so that they will not be infected by the virus and so shall they do not spread the virus to others, if they are already infected.  

The point of debate is not about how to play Sudoku game with fear over facts, but it is all about how we have understood the facts, it looks like our facts are away from facts, mere ‘valetudinarian reverberation’. 

We have overstepped our actions with panic, with empty hands, trying to catch air and tranquilize it. 

In proportion to the total human population in India, how many have turned positive for coronavirus so far, and how many of them have turned COVID 19, how many of them warrants ICU care and how many have died so far, we should analyse in detail. 

Alongside, we also must analyse how many turns positive for coronavirus out of the total number of people screened.  What we are doing today is based contact tracing epidemiological model which is strictly a reverse format.  From the above percentage data, we need to correlate with the percentage positivity for coronavirus in random sampling population to understand what would be carriage rate of virus in overall population in India with the impossible stretch of imagination that the virus has already spread everywhere and every Indian is affected. 

From the above data we need to draw what could be the possible number of COVID 19 cases, the possible deaths, without involving all listed susceptibility factors. 

The number is going to be very small; in spite of conserving the actual data in hand while extrapolation.

Virus-victim model should caution us and not scare us because by getting scared, we can do little to nothing.  We should strategize how to protect the victim and make the winner to win without getting harmed.  It means we should allow the virus to pass through us, it looks like humans are not the ultimate host of the virus otherwise the virus may not have the ability to spread so fast and affect only a ‘select’ group. 

Other question that gains greater relevance is the journey of the virus from upper respiratory tract to lower part of lungs.  Is the virus once enters our nostril and throat definitely enters our lungs?  If so why only certain individuals develop COVID 19 and not all? 

When the immune defence is so poor against the virus and re-infections susceptibility and Trojan horse possibility, both exist, how we can credit the host immunity protects certain individuals from the virus? 

If we are to imagine the virus doesn’t enter the lungs of all, then what does such possibility say about the pathogenicity of the pathogen?

Is the pathogen ‘title’ that we have tagged to the virus worth or we must re-visit to understand its real eligibility? 

Everyone knows science is not magic.  Only through observation and deeper understanding science can make any sense. 

If the Trojan horse phenomena is true in the case of novel coronavirus and the mutant strain in COVID 19 is more deadly, then whom are we risking the most?

Are we not risking our medical fraternity and health work force in future if second or third spike occurs? 

The best option left before us is revocation of the lockdown.  We must ensure, basic fever, anti-allergic and secondary bacterial infection containing drugs to everyone so that they can manage the infection initially and if the problem gets limited, then they can resume their life otherwise can be observed and hospitalized.  Keep chasing coronavirus positive cases, quarantine them, track their contacts, never test the contact list but quarantine them, fence the entire area, we are going to achieve nothing.  

The scientific paradox of super jet speed spread of the virus and the least number of COVID 19 cases doesn’t exist as sandwich and that should give us confidence and courage to revoke the lockdown and not to justify its continuance or beat the chest, how greatly the lockdown had worked for India and Wah! What a decisive leadership.