Man may not escape from corona maze game that he has started
It is now quite
clear that India in particular and the world at large may not escape from the
corona maze game that it had started/created. We have adopted measures similar to that of a
moth to a flame; self-defeating,
self-destructive and self-denying. We
took measures and strategies that are more brutal to people than to the
virus.
We have to realize
that the virus is also
intelligent
and so shall be its creator – evolution.
We need to ask several
fundamental questions to WHO (World health Organization) because WHO is keep
learning about the virus day by day and no one knows which class; pre-KG or UKG
education WHO has competed by now with reference to novel coronavirus.
Most of the questions we
must attempt to answer also from the premise of evolution and only then we can
truly reflect how unwise WE are in taking several
measures to contain the virus.
Why should a deadly
virus SARS-CoV2 or otherwise called as novel coronavirus must evoke pathology
similar to that of flu viruses?
Is there any true
pathogenic viruses would ever produce
various pathological conditions similar to that of flu viruses and leaves no
unique fingerprint pathology of the new virus?
Does that mean the
coronavirus is as harmless as flu virus?
Should we interpret, the novel coronavirus is displaying mullerian mimicry
at the pathological level so that human would get fooled easily and go chill
towards the virus and the virus can go scout free,
which our GREAT SCIENTISTS have blocked?
Is there any
similarity between novel coronavirus and flu viruses?
SARS-CoV-2 is a beta-coronavirus with single ≈30 kb
strand of RNA as its genome. On the other hand, the infection flu is caused by a
group of viruses from different families of RNA viruses with the genome size of
≈14 kb encoded in eight distinct strands of RNA, and also affect human cells in
a different way when compared to coronavirus.
The point of concern is that novel coronavirus has the
largest genome among all RNA viruses and this has led the scientists to presume
that the virus may have some proofreading mechanism to reduce mutation and
stabilise the genome. It means the
virus would undergo mutation less slowly but can adapt with its host
quickly.
What makes the story more complicated is not just the less
mutation possibility of the virus or the rapid adaptation but the viral
replication along with its prolonged active phase in extra human sources like
plastic, wet surface etc.
The viral replication of novel coronavirus appears to
be quite fast and more so in the nasal region.
Whether pre-symptomatic or asymptomatic sufferers besides those who show
complete clinical symptoms would discharge greater viral load and transmit the
virus is still not clear.
The
uniqueness of novel coronavirus is that it has both reduced mutation rate and
higher replication ability collectively may be increasing its fitness and not the
elimination.
Another
complication is about the survival period of the virion in extra human sources
like water, wet surfaces, plastic surfaces etc.
It is proven that the virion would be active for several hours to days
in certain extra human sources like plastic.
Similarly the RNA of the virus is also detected in several such sources. The exact size of the virion required to
cause infection is not clearly known. In
a country like India, at least three times higher positivity of the virus in
our population may exist outside the reach of testing as against the number of
tested positive population.
If someone has contracted the virus
from the extra human sources and are transmitting the virus to others means the
source shall remain hidden forever but a few floater positive cases alone we
may proudly quarantine or treat.
We also must ask the question of why
only 1 in every 10 or more screened only turn positive in India.
In India, the viral spread and
infection appears to follow ‘mosaic’ pattern and not uniform and even
pattern. The point to be noted here is that
the diverse immune responses and varied susceptibility of the host population in
India may be limiting the spread of the virus in a mosaic pattern.
Everyone
in any given geographic area if get exposed to the virus simultaneously, all of
them needs not contract the virus now would show the symptoms of the disease. In
India, such situation looks far too high than many other countries.
It
means the virus may enter in some but leaves quickly and infect only a
few. The reason for the above is quite
strange and mysterious. But the real problem
is the vast majority of people in India may be thinking that they may fall
under small risk/vulnerable population group than the dominant resilient
population to the virus.
We have spent too long and lost too
much in the maze game with novel coronavirus mostly because we followed either
the virus or applied the conventional epidemiological theories that sleeps
inside the pages of some text books, cannot be applied to a country like India.
Every
life form would interact in two directions to bring changes such as – the change
that happens within and attempts to bring the changes outside of the species.
The
changes ‘within’ in this context can be grouped under mutation and the changes
created outside come under the definition of infectivity, viral replication
etc.
When
we talk about the changes i.e., ‘outside’ of the virus, we must include the two
important elements such as the ‘the total human environment’ and the wide
variety of ‘microbes’ (both commensal and pathogenic) that harbours within the human
system.
The
new pathogen has to encounter both the components, must maintain its
replication, finds a new host, reduce mutation or accelerate most favourable
mutation, able to be active in extra human sources for long time with the hope
to get a new host, win and or weaken its competitors (other microbes in the
human system) etc.
The
above challenges are true for all pathogens in general. But the curious question is why this ‘so called
deadly coronavirus’ produces almost similar or shared pathology of flu viruses
and not unique pathology that can be associated to the uniqueness and novelty
of the virus?
Is
the world over cried due to the simple fact that the virus is new and hence whatever
the virus is going to do are also new?
Therefore lockdown is the only measure to contain the virus?
What the so called decisive Modi has
achieved for India through lockdown?
It
looks like the novel coronavirus has come to stay with us and not to leave
us. Therefore the maze game that we have
started with novel coronavirus is not going to lead us anywhere.
In a country like India, man to man
transmission alone may not be taking place but the virion from extra human
sources also may be spreading the virus, may be at lesser extent.
Further the mosaic type of
transmission of the virus and the infection in our population clearly indicates
that we have less to worry about the virus, however needs to be careful.
The
worst pathology seen in co-morbid patients suggest that there may be ‘some’
competition happening between novel coronavirus and other microbes in such
patients collectively triggering immune flare up leading to death, in some
cases.
The high replication and transmission of
the virus doesn’t support the virus to be a true pathogen. But we are still after the virus, with a
catapult in hand with the hope that coronavirus would be eliminated and curve
will be flattened.
Nothing
is going to work with the virus. The
measures of the government should not be against the life and livelihood of
people and no such measure would help any government to win such war.
Police
brutality may work against people but not against virus. Hope Modi will realize the pain of millions
of people who elected him twice.
India
needs weak, multiparty coalition government, not single party majority rule
which will destroy the federal structure and plurality of India. Coronavirus has revealed the autocratic face
of democracy and not the benevolent face of democracy. Let us not question the democracy, but change
the political party that we support.
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